The race for Africa’s spots at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is entering a decisive stage, and while some traditional heavyweights are cruising, others are staring at the possibility of heartbreak.
Egypt and Morocco look almost certain to be on the plane to the United States, Mexico, and Canada, but Nigeria’s Super Eagles find themselves in a perilous position with just four rounds of the World Cup qualifiers left.
Group A
Egypt have taken firm control of Group A, holding a five-point lead over Burkina Faso. With upcoming clashes against Ethiopia and Djibouti, two victories could all but confirm their ticket. Burkina Faso’s hopes now rest on an upset and a perfect finish to their campaign.
Group B
In Group B, it is all about fine margins. DR Congo, Senegal, and Sudan are separated by just one point. Senegal’s showdown with Sudan and their clash against DR Congo could be decisive, while Sudan are chasing what would be a historic first World Cup appearance despite turmoil at home.
Group C: Nigeria’s Fate Is Shaky
For Nigeria, the picture looks grim. The Super Eagles are fourth with only seven points, trailing group leaders South Africa, who sit on 13.
Upcoming matches against Rwanda at home and South Africa away are must-wins. To make matters more complex, a ruling is expected soon on South Africa’s alleged use of an ineligible player, which could shake up the standings. Without a dramatic turnaround, Nigeria could miss a second consecutive World Cup.
Group D
Cape Verde are dreaming of a maiden World Cup, holding a narrow one-point lead over Cameroon. Their direct clash could decide the group, though Libya and Angola remain dark horses.
Group E
Morocco, Africa’s standout at the last World Cup, have been ruthless with five wins from five. With Niger and Zambia up next, the Atlas Lions could become the first African side to secure early qualification.
Group F
Ivory Coast and Gabon are locked in a fierce battle, separated by a single point. Their head-to-head clash promises fireworks, with Burundi and Seychelles waiting in the wings.
Group G
Algeria’s three-point cushion over Mozambique puts them in the driver’s seat, but trips to Guinea and a home tie with Botswana mean there’s no room for error.
Group H
Tunisia are four points clear of Namibia, but an appeal from Equatorial Guinea could alter the equation. Wins over Liberia and Equatorial Guinea would likely end the suspense.
Group I
Ghana, aiming to put their AFCON 2025 disappointment behind them, lead Comoros by three points. A victory against Chad, followed by a clash with Comoros, could see the Black Stars confirm their return to the global stage.
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